Trading in Equity Options - Pattern Recognition (Candlesticks)

Suggested long and short trades based on candlestick patterns. The maximum holding period is 10 days. It is recommended that long options be used instead of naked futures. The trades are to be taken in the morning of 03 January, 2023

Automation

Information

This document provides candlestick patterns grouped by “confirmed” and “unconfirmed” patterns. We wait for one day after the completion of a pattern to determine confirmation.

  1. : Provides summary of swing on monthly chart: trend on monthly chart: swing on daily chart: trend on daily chart. Generally, we prefer to be long if monthly swing is 1 and short if monthly swing is -1.
  2. : frequency of confirmation, given the occurence of specified pattern for the symbol.
  3. : closing price on the day of day of completion of candlestick pattern.
  4. : for unconfirmed signals, a signal will not be confirmed if intraday price on the confirmation day breaches the stoploss.
  5. : return for a 10 day holiding period, assuming that the position was entered on closing price of the confirmation day, which is one day after the completion of the candle.
  6. : the average of the best holiding period return for the symbol that had a confirmed pattern for a 10 day holiding period. This calculation includes price extremities.
  7. : It is very likely that the price in a 10 day holiding period will adversely breach the confirmation price. The comfort for a trade is the difference between return_best and the worst expected intra-holding period return. Comfort denotes the expected gap between the best and the worst case return. Higher comfort levels are expected to show lower drawdowns.

UnConfirmed Signals on 2023-01-03

symbol pattern trendinfo confprob confprice stoploss return_close return_best comfort
BANKNIFTY_IND___ BULLISH HARAMI 1:1:-1:-1 0.73 43203.10 42833.1 0.75 5.17 2.20
FINNIFTY_IND___ BULLISH HARAMI 1:1:-1:-1 0.69 19074.45 18922.3 1.51 3.81 1.87

Confirmed LONG Signals on 2023-01-03

Confirmed SHORT Signals on 2023-01-03

Confirmed Signals With Negative Returns on 2023-01-03

symbol pattern trendinfo confprob confprice return_close return_best comfort
NSENIFTY_IND___ BEARISH DARK CLOUD COVER -1:1:1:1 0.59 18105.3 -0.44 3.29 0.68

Drilldown

BANKNIFTY_IND___

Click to expand!

Monthly Trend : UpTrend for 6 months, in UpSwing for 7 months.

Daily Trend : DownTrend for 8 days, in DownSwing for 3 days.

Daily Chart

CandleSticks

symbol date pattern confirmationdate confirmationprice
9 BANKNIFTY_IND___ 2022-11-30 BULLISH THREE WHITE SOLDIERS 2022-12-01 43231.00
10 BANKNIFTY_IND___ 2022-12-01 BEARISH MEETING LINE 2022-12-02 43260.65
11 BANKNIFTY_IND___ 2022-12-09 BEARISH MEETING LINE 2022-12-12 43633.45
12 BANKNIFTY_IND___ 2022-12-21 BEARISH ENGULFING 2022-12-22 42617.95
13 BANKNIFTY_IND___ 2022-12-26 BULLISH ONE WHITE SOLDIER 2022-12-27 42630.15
14 BANKNIFTY_IND___ 2023-01-02 BULLISH HARAMI NA 43203.10

Metrics of BULLISH HARAMI for 10 days

Events : 50 Incidence : 4% Confirmation Probability : 73% Win Percentage : 50% Aggressive Return : 5.17% Conservative Return : 0.75% Comfort : 2.2% Aggressive Return (Fail) : 5.1% Conservative Return (Fail) : -2.02% Comfort (Fail) : 2.35%

FINNIFTY_IND___

Click to expand!

Monthly Trend : UpTrend for 3 months, in UpSwing for 3 months.

Daily Trend : DownTrend for 3 days, in DownSwing for 3 days.

Daily Chart

CandleSticks

symbol date pattern confirmationdate confirmationprice
13 FINNIFTY_IND___ 2022-12-16 BULLISH DOJI STAR 2022-12-19 19163.97
14 FINNIFTY_IND___ 2022-12-21 BEARISH ENGULFING 2022-12-22 18925.20
15 FINNIFTY_IND___ 2022-12-22 BEARISH THREE OUTSIDE DOWN 2022-12-23 18858.60
16 FINNIFTY_IND___ 2022-12-26 BULLISH ONE WHITE SOLDIER 2022-12-27 18928.65
17 FINNIFTY_IND___ 2022-12-27 BEARISH HANGING MAN NA 18920.17
18 FINNIFTY_IND___ 2023-01-02 BULLISH HARAMI NA 19074.45

Metrics of BULLISH HARAMI for 10 days

Events : 24 Incidence : 2% Confirmation Probability : 69% Win Percentage : 58% Aggressive Return : 3.81% Conservative Return : 1.51% Comfort : 1.87% Aggressive Return (Fail) : 2.82% Conservative Return (Fail) : -2.08% Comfort (Fail) : 0.1%

NSENIFTY_IND___

Click to expand!

Monthly Trend : UpTrend for 3 months, in DownSwing for 2 months.

Daily Trend : UpTrend for 2 days, in UpSwing for 2 days.

Daily Chart

CandleSticks

symbol date pattern confirmationdate confirmationprice
13 NSENIFTY_IND___ 2022-12-12 BULLISH MEETING LINE 2022-12-13 18497.15
14 NSENIFTY_IND___ 2022-12-19 BULLISH ONE WHITE SOLDIER NA 18420.45
15 NSENIFTY_IND___ 2022-12-20 BEARISH DESCENDING HAWK NA 18354.28
16 NSENIFTY_IND___ 2022-12-21 BEARISH ENGULFING 2022-12-22 18199.10
17 NSENIFTY_IND___ 2022-12-26 BULLISH ONE WHITE SOLDIER 2022-12-27 18014.60
18 NSENIFTY_IND___ 2022-12-30 BEARISH DARK CLOUD COVER 2023-01-02 18105.30

Metrics of BEARISH DARK CLOUD COVER for 10 days

Events : 16 Incidence : 2% Confirmation Probability : 59% Win Percentage : 40% Aggressive Return : 3.29% Conservative Return : -0.44% Comfort : 0.68% Aggressive Return (Fail) : 3.66% Conservative Return (Fail) : 1.22% Comfort (Fail) : 3.97%